Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.