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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
Toronto FC

Chicago Fire
2 - 0
Toronto

Duran (4', 16')
Mueller (45+1'), Gutierrez (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Neill (34'), MacNaughton (37'), Criscito (65'), Nelson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 10 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawToronto
54.64% (0.384 0.38)24.12% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)21.25% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)50.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)72.66% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.152 0.15)18.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.261 0.26)49.68% (-0.265 -0.27)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (-0.286 -0.29)38.5% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (-0.275 -0.27)75.25% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 54.63%
    Toronto 21.25%
    Draw 24.11%
Chicago FireDrawToronto
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Toronto

Chicago Fire
26.9%
Draw
15.4%
Toronto
57.7%
26
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 12am
Toronto
3-2
Chicago Fire
Kerr (13'), Pozuelo (71' pen., 78')
Pozuelo (31'), Westberg (87'), Priso-Mbongue (88')
Teran (52'), Przybylko (66')
Przybylko (62'), Shaqiri (75'), Teran (78')
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Toronto
3-1
Chicago Fire
Delgado (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Soteldo (70')
Soteldo (9'), Laryea (89')
Beric (16')
Offor (87')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Toronto
Medran (77')
Pineda (70')
Soteldo (2'), DeLeon (76')
Singh (81')
Aug 2, 2020 1am
Chicago Fire
P-P
Toronto
Jun 18, 2020 1am
Toronto
P-P
Chicago Fire