Major League Soccer

Jul 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
4 - 0
Charlotte FC

Osorio (4'), Bradley (10', 45+2'), Bernardeschi (31')
Kaye (67')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Fuchs (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

Last Six:

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Chelsea (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 21 at 1.35am in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings

PTS

Goals
for

Goals
against

Clean
sheets

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Charlotte FC
48.4% ( -0.03)	24.39% ( 0)	27.21% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.76% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53% (

0.01)

46.47% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25% (

0.01)

68.75% (

-0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

-0.01)

19.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.99% (

-0.02)

51.01% (

0.02)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07% (

0.03)

30.93% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78% (

0.03)

67.22% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Toronto 48.4%

Charlotte FC 27.21%

Draw 24.38%

Toronto	Draw	Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.11% Total : 48.4%	1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.21%