Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Jonathan Osorio 4' goal
  • Michael Bradley 10' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 31' goal
  • Michael Bradley 45'+2' goal
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 67' yellowcard
  • redcard Christian Fuchs 65'

Toronto vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Montreal 1 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jonathan Osorio

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 17, 2022 2.22am
Inter Miami 3 - 2 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Karol Swiderski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result

Toronto 48.4% (-0.04)
Draw 24.39% (+0.01)
Charlotte FC 27.21% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.76% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 46.47% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 31.25% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.75% (-0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 80.72% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.28% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.99% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.01% (+0.02)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 69.07% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 30.93% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 32.78% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.22% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Toronto 48.4%
Draw 24.38%
Charlotte FC 27.21%
Toronto
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 48.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.38%
Charlotte FC
0-1 @ 7% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.21%