Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Toronto
  • Kamal Miller 57' yellowcard
  • Lukas MacNaughton 69' goal
  • Kamal Miller 81' redcard
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 46'

CF Montreal vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Montreal 1 - 2 Kansas
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Romell Quioto

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 14, 2022 1.00am
Chicago Fire 2 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jonathan Osorio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result

CF Montreal 62.2% ▲ (+2.91)
Draw 20.46% ▼ (-0.70)
Toronto 17.33% ▼ (-2.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24% ▼ (-1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.34% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 2.5 40.65% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 36.96% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 63.04% ▲ (+0.42)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 87.46% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 0.5 12.53% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 1.5 61.44% ▲ (+1.48)
Under 1.5 38.56% ▼ (-1.47)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 63.15% ▼ (-2.64)
Under 0.5 36.85% ▲ (+2.65)
Over 1.5 26.37% ▼ (-2.73)
Under 1.5 73.63% ▲ (+2.74)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 62.2%
Draw 20.46%
Toronto 17.33%
CF Montreal
2-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.71)
2-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.43)
3-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.66)
3-1 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.20)
4-0 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.43)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.22)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 62.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.26)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.37)
0-0 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.46%
Toronto
1-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.50)
0-1 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.30)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 17.33%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Toronto
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Montreal
  • Patrick Mullins 6' yellowcard
  • Noble Okello 53' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 58' yellowcard
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 64' yellowcard
  • Jozy Altidore 90'+5' goal
  • Jozy Altidore 90'+6' goal
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 55'
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 58'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Montreal
Aug 28, 2021 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Toronto
  • Aljaz Struna 9' yellowcard
  • Samuel Piette 23' goal
  • Samuel Piette 34' yellowcard
  • Rudy Camacho 47' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Torres 68' goal
  • Joaquin Torres 69' goal
  • Romell Quioto 75' goal
  • redcard Noble Okello 5'
  • goal Ifunanyachi Achara 58'
  • yellowcard Kemar Lawrence 60'
  • yellowcard Omar Gonzalez 74'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 1
Montreal
Apr 17, 2021 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto
  • Mason Toye 3' goal
  • Romell Quioto 24' goal
  • Victor Wanyama 55' goal
  • Victor Wanyama 67' yellowcard
  • Djordje Mihailovic 71' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 19'
  • goal Marco Delgado 45'
  • yellowcard Ralph Priso-Mbongue 45'+1'
  • goal Richie Laryea 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Montreal
Sep 10, 2020 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Victor Wanyama 53' goal
  • goal Pablo Piatti 32'
  • goal Jozy Altidore 89'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
Toronto
Sep 2, 2020 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field
Montreal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 59' yellowcard
  • goal Rudy Camacho 14'
  • yellowcard Rudy Camacho 45'
  • yellowcard Zachary Brault-Guillard 46'
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 52'
  • yellowcard Saphir Taider 88'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Maciel 90'+7'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 7
Montreal
Aug 29, 2020 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Victor Wanyama 57' yellowcard
  • Rudy Camacho 68' yellowcard
  • goal Alejandro Pozuelo 50'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Pozuelo 90'+3'

Form Data

Montreal 1 - 2 Kansas
LA Galaxy 4 - 0 Montreal
Seattle 1 - 2 Montreal
Montreal 2 - 1 Charlotte FC
Montreal 0 - 1 Austin
Montreal 4 - 3 Cincinnati
Chicago Fire 2 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 2 - 2 Earthquakes
Toronto 0 - 2 Seattle
Toronto 1 - 2 Columbus Crew
Toronto 2 - 1 Atlanta
NY Red Bulls 2 - 0 Toronto