| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 20 | -7 | 20 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | -12 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Portland Timbers | 20 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | -4 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 48.5% ( | 27.12% ( | 24.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.94% | 59.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% ( | 79.51% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( | 24.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( | 58.9% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.84% ( | 40.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.2% ( | 76.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% ( 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.37% |