Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 49.93% | 24.06% | 26.01% |
| Both teams to score 55.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% | 45.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% | 68.23% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% | 18.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.37% | 49.62% |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% | 31.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% | 67.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.01% |