Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.