| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 20 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 21 | -4 | 26 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 20 | 0 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 21 | -2 | 25 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 21 | -6 | 23 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | -15 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 47.77% ( | 25.27% ( | 26.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( | 50.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( | 72.3% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% | 21.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( | 53.93% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( | 33.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% ( | 69.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.96% |