Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.