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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Aug 4, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Nashville

Portland
1 - 1
Nashville

Moreno (27')
McGraw (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bunbury (20')
Zimmerman (45+1'), Williams (60'), Bunbury (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 4-4 Portland
Saturday, July 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Nashville SC

Last Six:
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, July 31 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawNashville SC
51.24% (-0.581 -0.58)24.38% (0.17 0.17)24.38% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (-0.352 -0.35)48.66% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.32 -0.32)70.78% (0.31399999999999 0.31)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.363 -0.36)18.99% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.603 -0.6)50.53% (0.597 0.6)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.16 0.16)34.4% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.17 0.17)71.1% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 51.24%
    Nashville SC 24.38%
    Draw 24.38%
Portland TimbersDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 51.24%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.38%

How you voted: Portland vs Nashville

Portland Timbers
54.8%
Draw
41.9%
Nashville SC
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2022 1.30am
Nashville
2-2
Portland
Davis (19'), Williams (57')
Zimmerman (77')
Asprilla (64' pen.), Niezgoda (70')
Ayala (29'), McGraw (50')
Jul 6, 2020 12am
Nashville
P-P
Portland
Mar 8, 2020 11pm
Portland
1-0
Nashville
Valeri (12')
Mabiala (5'), Chara (84'), Duvall (90')

Lovitz (29')