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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
San Jose Earthquakes

Portland
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Niezgoda (53'), Asprilla (71')
van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kikanovic (42')
Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 1-1 Vancouver
Monday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

Last Six:
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Houston
Monday, July 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
58.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)20.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.77% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.05% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)33.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)70.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 58.35%
    San Jose Earthquakes 20.18%
    Draw 21.48%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.48%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 20.18%

How you voted: Portland vs Earthquakes

Portland Timbers
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
16
Head to Head
May 19, 2022 3.30am
Earthquakes
3-2
Portland
Yueill (31'), Monteiro (44', 80')
Remedi (59'), Lopez (66')
Paredes (18'), Tuiloma (56')
Zuparic (36'), Rasmussen (70'), Williamson (90+5')
Oct 28, 2021 3am
Portland
2-0
Earthquakes
Chara (34'), Asprilla (55')
Paredes (20'), Chara (27'), Asprilla (57')

Lopez (19'), Remedi (50')
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
Portland
1-1
Earthquakes
Mora (45+6')
van Rankin (29'), Williamson (85'), Chara (90+2'), Blanco (90+6'), Mabiala (90+10')
Chara (90+3')
Lopez (24')
Salinas (90+6'), Cardoso (90+8'), Lopez (90+9')
May 16, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
0-2
Portland

Wondolowski (45+3')
Chara (5'), Loria (74')
Tuiloma (25'), Zuparic (42')
Oct 12, 2020 3am
Portland
3-0
Earthquakes
Niezgoda (46', 52'), Mora (86')
Williamson (18'), Farfan (29')

Beason (69'), Rios (79')