Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.