Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emanuel Reynoso 43' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 79' goal
  • Luis Amarilla 84' goal
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 37'
  • goal Corey Baird 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Daniel Steres 63'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 78'

Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 21, 2022 1.00am
Minnesota Utd 2 - 1 Austin
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Emanuel Reynoso

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 21, 2022 2.00am
Colorado 1 - 1 Houston
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Sebastian Ferreira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result

Minnesota United 55.32% (-0.23)
Draw 22.94% (+0.06)
Houston Dynamo 21.74% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.54% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.74% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.26% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 32.4% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.6% (+0.02)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 83.78% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 16.22% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 54.28% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 45.72% (+0.16)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 65.1% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 34.91% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 28.35% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 71.65% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 55.31%
Draw 22.93%
Houston Dynamo 21.74%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 55.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.66% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.93%
Houston Dynamo
0-1 @ 5.96% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.7% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 21.74%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Lundqvist 8' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 59' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 86' goal
  • goal Franco Fragapane 45'+2'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 72'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Robin Lod 1' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 17' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darwin Quintero 41'
  • yellowcard Samuel Junqua 72'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 28
Aug 29, 2021 1.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 1' goal
  • Griffin Dorsey 61' yellowcard
  • Teenage Hadebe 73' yellowcard
  • Zarek Valentin 77' yellowcard
  • goal Adrien Hunou 16'
  • goal Adrien Hunou 73'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Aug 8, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robin Lod 14' goal
  • Brent Kallman 71' goal
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 21'
  • yellowcard Samuel Junqua 21'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 62'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
Oct 19, 2020 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Ethan Finlay 11' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 30' goal
  • Jacori Hayes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Lundqvist 10'
  • goal Memo Rodriguez 59'
  • goal Niko Hansen 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 45
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm