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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 10pm UK
Robertson Stadium
LA Galaxy

Houston
1 - 3
LA Galaxy

Ferreira (8')
Parker (78'), Rodriguez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Puig (31'), Hernandez (32'), Joveljic (69')
Hernandez (17'), Araujo (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Houston
Monday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

Galaxy will be too strong for Dynamo in the end, and the desire to get that first round home game will propel them over the line in rather comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
32.93% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15) 23.28% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 43.79% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 63.19% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.78% (-0.119 -0.12)38.21% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.51% (-0.125 -0.13)60.49% (0.125 0.13)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (-0.143 -0.14)23.05% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)56.88% (0.208 0.21)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)17.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.014000000000003 0.01)48.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 32.93%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 43.79%
    Draw 23.28%
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.93%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.14% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 43.79%

How you voted: Houston vs LA Galaxy

Houston Dynamo
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
80.0%
5
Head to Head
May 23, 2022 1am
LA Galaxy
0-3
Houston

DePuy (65')
Ferreira (11'), Pasher (58'), Ulfarsson (62')
Rodriguez (16'), Ulfarsson (62'), Avila (80'), Hadebe (86')
Oct 21, 2021 1.30am
Houston
0-3
LA Galaxy

Figueroa (37')
Kljestan (39' pen.), Valentin (45+1' og.), Cabral (47')
Hernandez (9'), Araujo (11'), DePuy (84')
Sep 16, 2021 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Houston
Hernandez (61')
dos Santos (69')
Picault (13')
Vera (51'), Ceren (65'), Valentin (80'), Quintero (86'), Garcia (90+4')
Jul 24, 2020 1am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Houston
Pavon (90+1' pen.)
Steres (84')
Quintero (17')
Struna (45+3'), Quintero (59'), Garcia (70')
Apr 26, 2020 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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