Major League Soccer

Oct 9, 2022 at 10pm UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
1 - 3
LA Galaxy

Ferreira (8')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Puig (31'), Hernandez (32'), Joveljic (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Houston
Monday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
32.93% ( -0.15)	23.28% ( 0.01)	43.79% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 63.19% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.78% (

-0.12)

38.21% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.51% (

-0.13)

60.49% (

0.13)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.95% (

-0.14)

23.05% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.12% (

-0.21)

56.88% (

0.21)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

0.01)

17.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35% (

0.01)

48.65% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 32.93%

Los Angeles Galaxy 43.79%

Draw 23.28%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.93%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 43.79%