Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 10.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Sebastian Ferreira 8' goal
  • goal Riqui Puig 31'
  • goal Javier Hernandez 32'
  • goal Dejan Joveljic 69'

Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 3, 2022 1.30am
Nashville 1 - 2 Houston
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Sebastian Ferreira

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 2, 2022 3.30am
LA Galaxy 1 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Javier Hernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result

Houston Dynamo 32.93% (-0.16)
Draw 23.28% (+0.02)
Los Angeles Galaxy 43.79% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.19% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.78% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 38.21% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 39.51% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 60.49% (+0.13)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 76.95% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 23.05% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 43.12% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 56.88% (+0.21)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5 82.12% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.87% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.35% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.65% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 32.93%
Draw 23.28%
Los Angeles Galaxy 43.79%
Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.05% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.12% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.28%
Los Angeles Galaxy
1-2 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.09% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.11% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.14% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 43.79%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 23, 2022 1.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nick DePuy 65' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Ferreira 11'
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 16'
  • goal Tyler Pasher 58'
  • goal Thorleifur Ulfarsson 62'
  • yellowcard Thorleifur Ulfarsson 62'
  • yellowcard Roberto Avila 80'
  • yellowcard Teenage Hadebe 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Maynor Figueroa 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javier Hernandez 9'
  • yellowcard Julian Araujo 11'
  • goal Sacha Kljestan 39'
  • goal Zarek Valentin 45'+1' (OG)
  • goal Kevin Cabral 47'
  • yellowcard Nick DePuy 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Sep 16, 2021 3.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Javier Hernandez 61' goal
  • Jonathan dos Santos 69' yellowcard
  • goal Fabrice Picault 13'
  • yellowcard Matias Vera 51'
  • yellowcard Darwin Ceren 65'
  • yellowcard Zarek Valentin 80'
  • yellowcard Darwin Quintero 86'
  • yellowcard Boniek Garcia 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2020 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
  • Daniel Steres 84' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavon 90'+1' goal
  • goal Darwin Quintero 17'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Struna 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Darwin Quintero 59'
  • yellowcard Boniek Garcia 70'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
Apr 26, 2020 3.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Feb 29, 2020 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Boniek Garcia 49' yellowcard
  • Mauro Manotas 54' goal
  • goal Cristian Pavon 13'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Katai 51'