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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2022 at 2am UK
CenturyLink Field
Houston Dynamo

Seattle
2 - 1
Houston

Tolo (59'), Montero (76')
Montero (77'), Rusnak (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Steres (26')
Dorsey (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
62.25% (0.079000000000001 0.08)20.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)16.94% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.22% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)42.92% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (-0.055 -0.05)65.32% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)13.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.02% (0.011000000000003 0.01)39.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.33% (-0.114 -0.11)38.67% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.59% (-0.106 -0.11)75.41% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 62.24%
    Houston Dynamo 16.94%
    Draw 20.81%
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.06% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.71%
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 62.24%
1-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.81%
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.94%

How you voted: Seattle vs Houston

Seattle Sounders
42.1%
Draw
15.8%
Houston Dynamo
42.1%
19
Head to Head
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Seattle

Carrasquilla (11'), Ceren (90')
Carrasquilla (54')
Ruidiaz (28')
Rowe (47'), Roldan (79')
Roldan (82')
Oct 17, 2021 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Seattle
Urruti (15'), Quintero (20')
Figueroa (79'), Corona (90+2')
Medranda (41')
Arreaga (54'), Paulo (90+4')
Jul 8, 2021 2am
Seattle
2-0
Houston
Rowe (62'), Ruidiaz (90+4')
Gomez Andrade (33'), Leyva (51')

Picault (80')
Jul 23, 2020 3.30am
Mar 15, 2020 12.30am