| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 9 | Atlanta United | 22 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Toronto | 23 | -9 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 4 | 32 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 3 | 32 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 1 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 54.75% ( | 23.76% ( | 21.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( | 49.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( | 71.11% ( |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( | 17.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% ( | 48.5% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% ( | 37.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( | 74.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 54.74% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.49% |