Major League Soccer

Sep 1, 2022 at 2.22am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
3 - 2
Seattle

Torres (53'), Kara (68' pen.), Smith (90+1')
Carlos (61'), Moutinho (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rusnak (26'), Ruidiaz (52')
Roldan (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

Last Six:

Last Game: Portland 2-1 Seattle
Saturday, August 27 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Vancouver Whitecaps	28	-10	34
6	Seattle Sounders	27	0	33
7	Colorado Rapids	27	-6	32

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Seattle Sounders
47.43% ( 3.2)	25.86% ( -0.09)	26.7% ( -3.11)

Both teams to score 50.7% (

-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.09% (

-1.33)

52.91% (

1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.48% (

-1.15)

74.52% (

1.14)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

0.92)

22.31% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.22% (

1.36)

55.77% (

-1.36)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26% (

-3.09)

34.73% (

3.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53% (

-3.41)

71.47% (

3.41)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 47.43%

Seattle Sounders 26.7%

Draw 25.86%

Orlando City	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.89) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.55) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.43%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.34) Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.7%