We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 Orlando City
Charlotte have never drawn a home game in the MLS, and we expect that trend to continue on Sunday when they face Orlando.
After winning four of their previous six MLS home matches, we think that the hosts will edge out the visitors to leapfrog them in the Eastern Conference.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.