| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 26 | -2 | 34 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 25 | -8 | 33 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 25 | -6 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 47.44% ( | 25.77% ( | 26.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.51% ( | 52.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.84% ( | 74.15% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( | 22.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.5% ( | 55.5% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( | 34.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% ( | 71.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.44% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.79% |