| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 2 | 43 |
| 3 | New York City FC | 24 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 5 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 75.53% ( | 15% ( | 9.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.19% ( | 33.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.35% ( | 55.65% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.52% ( | 7.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.13% ( | 26.88% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.76% ( | 44.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.68% ( | 80.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 3-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 3-1 @ 7.84% ( 4-0 @ 6.23% ( 4-1 @ 5.08% ( 5-0 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 5-1 @ 2.64% ( 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 6-0 @ 1.4% ( 6-1 @ 1.14% ( 5-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 75.52% | 1-1 @ 7% ( 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0-0 @ 3.31% ( Other @ 1% Total : 15% | 1-2 @ 2.85% ( 0-1 @ 2.7% ( 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 9.47% |