| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 7 | 36 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 21 | 2 | 35 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 22 | 19 | 42 |
| 2 | New York City FC | 21 | 21 | 41 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for CF Montreal has a probability of 37.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest CF Montreal win is 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
| 37.12% ( | 24.91% ( | 37.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( | 45.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( | 67.57% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( | 24.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( | 58.26% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( | 23.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( | 57.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.97% |