| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | -15 | 20 |
| 9 | Toronto | 21 | -13 | 19 |
| 10 | DC United | 19 | -17 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 20 | 1 | 32 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 5 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for DC United had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for CF Montreal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CF Montreal.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 36% ( | 25.96% ( | 38.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( | 50.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( | 71.99% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( | 26.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( | 62.16% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( | 25.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( | 60.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.11% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.04% |