Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.