| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Toronto | 22 | -9 | 22 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | -17 | 20 |
| 10 | DC United | 20 | -18 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 22 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 21 | -2 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 39.14% ( | 26.68% ( | 34.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( | 53.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( | 74.79% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( | 26.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% | 61.8% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( | 29.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( | 65.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.13% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.18% |