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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Aug 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
New York City

Orlando City
2 - 1
NY City

Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 1-1 New York City FC

Four of the last five matches between these sides have ended in a draw, and with the Pigeons missing one of their top chance creators (Rodriguez) and Orlando also missing one of their best (Pato), this might not be a fast-paced game with a lot of opportunities for either side, especially given the Florida heat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
34.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 25.67% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 39.72% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (-0.256 -0.26)48.91% (0.25599999999999 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (-0.234 -0.23)71% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (-0.129 -0.13)27.16% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44% (-0.165 -0.16)62.56% (0.165 0.16)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.142 -0.14)24.29% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (-0.202 -0.2)58.67% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 34.61%
    New York City FC 39.72%
    Draw 25.66%
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.72%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY City

Orlando City
34.6%
Draw
23.1%
New York City FC
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Mueller (18')
Carlos (3'), Jansson (37'), Miller (53')
Parks (43')
Ring (5'), Tinnerholm (45+5'), Parks (82')
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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