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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 at 11pm UK
Toyota Park
New York City

Chicago Fire
0 - 2
NY City


Czichos (18'), Teran (60'), Navarro (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (16'), Rodriguez (46')
Rodriguez (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 1-3 Charlotte FC
Thursday, August 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
36.16% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)26.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)37.48% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)51.69% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (0.033999999999999 0.03)73.47% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)27.56% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (0.046000000000006 0.05)26.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (0.061 0.06)62.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.16%
    New York City FC 37.48%
    Draw 26.35%
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.48%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs NY City

Chicago Fire
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
New York City FC
35.7%
14
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Castellanos (51' pen.)
Castellanos (90+1')

Pineda (32')
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
0-0
NY City

Kappelhof (90')

Parks (42'), Tajouri (84')
Parks (73')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Chicago Fire
3-4
NY City
Beric (33'), Frankowski (42', 43')
Callens (15'), Mackay-Steven (32'), Medina (37'), Castellanos (77')