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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 at 11pm UK
Toyota Park
New York City

Chicago Fire
0 - 2
NY City


Czichos (18'), Teran (60'), Navarro (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (16'), Rodriguez (46')
Rodriguez (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 1-3 Charlotte FC
Thursday, August 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 New York City FC

 Something just doesn't seem right with the defending champions at the moment, and the Fire should be able to take advantage of that this week in a game that means a lot more to them than it does to the visitors. The Pigeons seem to be missing a little imagination and creativity in the attack right now, while they look unusually disorganized along the backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
36.16% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 26.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 37.48% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)51.69% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (0.033999999999999 0.03)73.47% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)27.56% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (0.046000000000006 0.05)26.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (0.061 0.06)62.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.16%
    New York City FC 37.48%
    Draw 26.35%
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.48%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs NY City

Chicago Fire
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
New York City FC
35.7%
14
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Castellanos (51' pen.)
Castellanos (90+1')

Pineda (32')
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
0-0
NY City

Kappelhof (90')

Parks (42'), Tajouri (84')
Parks (73')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Chicago Fire
3-4
NY City
Beric (33'), Frankowski (42', 43')
Callens (15'), Mackay-Steven (32'), Medina (37'), Castellanos (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114
> Full Version


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