| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | -14 | 30 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | -12 | 29 |
| 10 | DC United | 29 | -28 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | -14 | 30 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | -12 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 51.53% ( | 23.8% ( | 24.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( | 45.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( | 68.27% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( | 17.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( | 48.6% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( | 32.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( | 69.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.66% |