Major League Soccer

Aug 22, 2022 at 12.55am UK

Livestrong Sporting Park

Kansas
4 - 1
Portland

Agade (31', 75'), Fontas (40'), Thommy (42')
Sweat (78')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Blanco (90+1')
McGraw (57'), Chara (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

Last Six:

Last Game: Austin 4-3 Kansas
Sunday, August 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Houston Dynamo	26	-11	26
9	Sporting Kansas City	26	-18	23
10	DC United	26	-28	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Portland Timbers
51.48% ( -0.09)	24% ( 0.06)	24.52% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.04% (

-0.22)

46.96% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79% (

-0.2)

69.21% (

0.2)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76% (

-0.12)

18.24% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.72% (

-0.2)

49.28% (

0.2)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

-0.09)

33.35% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

-0.1)

69.97% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 51.48%

Portland Timbers 24.52%

Draw 23.99%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.48%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.52%