Major League Soccer

Aug 14, 2022 at 2am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
4 - 3
Kansas

Gallagher (27'), Cascante (63'), Hoesen (85'), Driussi (90+4')
Gabrielsen (68'), Driussi (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Fontas (12'), Agade (23'), Russell (40' pen.)
Agade (86'), Salloi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

Last Six:

Last Game: Kansas 4-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, August 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Houston Dynamo	24	-10	25
9	Sporting Kansas City	25	-17	23
10	DC United	23	-20	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
63.67% ( 0.21)	20.24% ( -0.08)	16.08% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.24% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.04% (

0.12)

41.95% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.64% (

0.12)

64.36% (

-0.12)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.48% (

0.1)

12.51% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.48% (

0.2)

38.52% (

-0.2)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86% (

-0.09)

39.14% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.14% (

-0.09)

75.85% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 63.66%

Sporting Kansas City 16.08%

Draw 20.24%

Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.66%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.24%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 16.08%