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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2022 at 1am UK
Austin FC Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Austin
3 - 4
NY Red Bulls

Driussi (45', 69'), Finlay (81')
Felipe (4'), Ring (57')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ngoma (14'), Yearwood (26'), Harper (51'), Barlow (65')
Klimala (21'), Harper (48'), Edwards (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Austin
Sunday, July 17 at 2am in Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 NY City
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 New York Red Bulls

 Given the way New York defend, so deep in their own zone, we expect the Verde and Black to have their share of quality scoring opportunities, and they know better than most in MLS how to find the back of the net. The Red Bulls are fantastic in transition, but Austin are pretty good at defending, and can count on the splendid goalkeeping of Brad Stuver, who has made several key saves throughout the year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
43.56% (2.003 2) 25.35% (-0.216 -0.22) 31.08% (-1.783 -1.78)
Both teams to score 55.05% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48% (0.341 0.34)48.52% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.35% (0.309 0.31)70.65% (-0.307 -0.31)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (1.112 1.11)22.23% (-1.11 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (1.646 1.65)55.66% (-1.644 -1.64)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-0.998 -1)29.21% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (-1.244 -1.24)65.16% (1.247 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 43.56%
    New York Red Bulls 31.08%
    Draw 25.35%
Austin FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.184 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.215 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.372 0.37)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.251 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.3 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.154 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.56%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.341 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Austin vs NY Red Bulls

Austin FC
75.5%
Draw
9.4%
New York Red Bulls
15.1%
53
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113
> Full Version


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