Major League Soccer

Jul 25, 2022 at 1am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
3 - 4
NY Red Bulls

Driussi (45', 69'), Finlay (81')
Felipe (4'), Ring (57')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ngoma (14'), Yearwood (26'), Harper (51'), Barlow (65')
Klimala (21'), Harper (48'), Edwards (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 NY City
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	CF Montreal	21	2	35
3	New York Red Bulls	21	6	33
4	Columbus Crew	21	5	30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
43.56% ( 2)	25.35% ( -0.22)	31.08% ( -1.78)

Both teams to score 55.05% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.48% (

0.34)

48.52% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.35% (

0.31)

70.65% (

-0.31)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

1.11)

22.23% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

1.65)

55.66% (

-1.64)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

-1)

29.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84% (

-1.24)

65.16% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 43.56%

New York Red Bulls 31.08%

Draw 25.35%

Austin FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.56%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.08%