Major League Soccer

Aug 7, 2022 at 2am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
3 - 3
Earthquakes

Cascante (6'), Driussi (26', 44')
Driussi (23'), Stuver (60')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Kikanovic (8'), Marie (20'), Ebobisse (88')
Beason (39'), Yueill (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
56.6% ( -0.57)	21.65% ( 0.18)	21.75% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 58.93% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.55% (

-0.29)

39.45% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.21% (

-0.3)

61.79% (

0.31)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.19% (

-0.27)

13.81% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.85% (

-0.54)

41.15% (

0.55)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36% (

0.2)

31.64% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.96% (

0.23)

68.04% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 56.6%

San Jose Earthquakes 21.75%

Draw 21.65%

Austin FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.39% Total : 56.6%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.65%	1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 21.75%