Major League Soccer

Aug 4, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
0 - 1
Inter Miami

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mota (12')
Yedlin (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, July 31 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Chicago Fire	23	-4	27
10	Inter Miami	22	-7	26
11	Atlanta United	22	-1	25

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Inter Miami
61.16% ( -0.4)	21.9% ( 0.2)	16.94% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 49.67% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34% (

-0.52)

47.66% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14% (

-0.48)

69.86% (

0.48)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.91% (

-0.3)

15.09% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.36% (

-0.57)

43.64% (

0.57)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.49% (

-0.07)

41.51% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22% (

-0.06)

78% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 61.15%

Inter Miami 16.94%

Draw 21.89%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.33% Total : 61.15%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.89%	0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.94%