Major League Soccer

Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
3 - 1
Portland

Osorio (41'), Insigne (79'), Bernardeschi (85')
MacNaughton (14'), Mavinga (67'), Osorio (68'), Bernardeschi (86'), Bernardeschi (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van Rankin (73', 73')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Portland Timbers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Portland Timbers
47.21% ( 0.4)	23.13% ( -0.1)	29.66% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 61.98% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.92% (

0.27)

39.08% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.59% (

0.29)

61.4% (

-0.29)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12% (

0.26)

16.88% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.09% (

0.46)

46.9% (

-0.46)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

-0.06)

25.43% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

-0.08)

60.25% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Toronto 47.21%

Portland Timbers 29.66%

Draw 23.12%

Toronto	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.23% Total : 47.21%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.66%