/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Ftorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fporlog.png)
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Lukas MacNaughton
14'
-
Jonathan Osorio
41'
-
Chris Mavinga
67'
-
Jonathan Osorio
68'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
79'
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Federico Bernardeschi
85'
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Federico Bernardeschi
86'
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Federico Bernardeschi
87'
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Jose van Rankin
73'
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Jose van Rankin
73'
Toronto vs Portland Timbers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result
Toronto
47.21%
▲
(+0.41)
Draw
23.13%
▼
(-0.10)
Portland Timbers
29.66%
▼
(-0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
61.98%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.92%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 2.5
39.08%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 3.5
38.59%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 3.5
61.4%
▼
(-0.29)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5
83.12%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
16.88%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
53.09%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 1.5
46.9%
▼
(-0.47)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5
74.57%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
25.43%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
39.74%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
60.25%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Toronto
47.21%
Draw
23.12%
Portland Timbers
29.66%
Toronto
2-1
@
9.3%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 47.21%
1-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 47.21%
Draw
1-1
@
10.45%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.12%
2-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.12%
Portland Timbers
1-2
@
7.16%
▼
(-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 29.66%
0-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 29.66%