| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 21 | -2 | 26 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 22 | -4 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 22 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Toronto | 22 | -9 | 22 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | -17 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
| 67.08% ( | 18.9% ( | 14.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.85% ( | 40.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.48% ( | 62.51% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( | 11.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.59% ( | 35.4% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% ( | 40.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.61% ( | 77.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 10.93% 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 3-0 @ 8.03% ( 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 4-0 @ 4.42% ( 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 5-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 5-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 4.1% Total : 67.08% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.9% | 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 1-2 @ 3.99% 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.01% |