Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.