Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.