| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | -11 | 26 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 10 | DC United | 26 | -28 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 0 | 32 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | -11 | 27 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 52.96% ( | 22.72% ( | 24.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( | 41.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( | 63.88% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( | 15.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.25% ( | 44.75% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( | 30.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.21% ( | 66.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 5-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.96% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 24.31% |