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Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
Aug 28, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Livestrong Sporting Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Kansas
1 - 0
Earthquakes

Salloi (10')
Sweat (42'), Agade (45'), Fontas (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beason (57'), Agren (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
52.96% (-0.117 -0.12)22.72% (0.061 0.06)24.31% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.55% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (-0.212 -0.21)41.48% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12% (-0.215 -0.22)63.88% (0.216 0.22)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (-0.114 -0.11)15.69% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.25% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)44.75% (0.215 0.21)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)30.56% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.78% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 52.96%
    San Jose Earthquakes 24.31%
    Draw 22.72%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.96%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 24.31%

How you voted: Kansas vs Earthquakes

Sporting Kansas City
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
5
Head to Head
May 23, 2022 12.30am
Jul 22, 2021 1.30am
Kansas
1-1
Earthquakes
Salloi (90+4')
Lindsey (57'), Zusi (85')
Cardoso (53')
Lopez (40'), Judson (49'), Espinoza (81'), Cardoso (86')
Judson (90+5')
May 23, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
1-3
Kansas
Lopez (4')
Espinoza (9'), Rios (49')
Lindsey (15'), Pulido (60'), Salloi (75')
Lindsey (90')
Nov 22, 2020 9pm
Kansas
3-3
Earthquakes
Kansas win 3-0 on penalties
Espinoza (4'), Sanchez (47'), Busio (90+1')
Reid (39'), Dia (78'), Espinoza (79'), Russell (86')
Fierro (22'), Salinas (34'), Wondolowski (90+7')
Lima (28'), Lopez (56'), Espinoza (85')
Aug 16, 2020 1.30am