Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2022 at 3am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Kikanovic (14'), Cowell (77')
Thompson (30'), Cardoso (31'), Kikanovic (60'), Remedi (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Opoku (54')
Ibeagha (42'), Acosta (67'), Sanchez (67'), Cifuentes (86'), Arango (90+6')
Sanchez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles FC
36.81% ( 0.01)	23.46% ( 0)	39.73% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 63.49% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.78% (

-0.02)

38.22% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.5% (

-0.02)

60.49% (

0.02)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99% (

-0.01)

21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.22% (

-0.01)

53.78% (

0.01)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.38% (

-0.02)

19.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.42% (

-0.02)

51.57% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 36.81%

Los Angeles FC 39.73%

Draw 23.45%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.81%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 39.73%