Major League Soccer

Aug 17, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
1 - 0
DC United

Opoku (67')
Escobar (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hopkins (28'), Najar (43'), Morrison (44'), Birnbaum (49'), Ochoa (59')
Birnbaum (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for DC United had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	DC United
72.54% ( -0.25)	16.21% ( 0.08)	11.26% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 54% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.8% (

0.16)

34.2% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.91% (

0.18)

56.09% (

-0.18)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.8% (

-0.01)

8.2% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.29% (

-0.04)

28.71% (

0.04)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.82% (

0.43)

41.18% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.28% (

0.38)

77.72% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 72.54%

DC United 11.26%

Draw 16.21%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	DC United
2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 72.54%	1-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.21%	1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.4% Total : 11.26%