Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for DC United had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.