| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Toronto | 23 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | DC United | 22 | -20 | 21 |
| 10 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | -19 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 23 | 3 | 39 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 23 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 4 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 31.48% ( | 25.9% ( | 42.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( | 50.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( | 72.6% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( | 30.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.83% ( | 66.17% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( | 23.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( | 57.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 3-0 @ 2.06% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.48% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.61% |