| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 23 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 7 | 36 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 22 | 2 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | -6 | 27 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 22 | -8 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 45.8% ( | 26.64% ( | 27.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.63% ( | 55.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( | 76.57% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( | 24.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( | 58.42% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( | 35.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.88% ( | 72.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.56% |