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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
DC United

New England
1 - 0
DC United

Gil (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Palsson (81'), Hopkins (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 2-1 DC United

New England were excellent against Orlando City last time out, so they should have momentum coming into this contest. DC United are capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday, but we believe that the home side will have enough quality to pick up an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
68.3% (0.157 0.16) 18.53% (-0.058 -0.06) 13.16% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.52% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (0.031999999999996 0.03)40.41% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21% (0.032000000000004 0.03)62.79% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (0.046999999999997 0.05)10.81% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (0.10799999999999 0.11)34.87% (-0.111 -0.11)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77% (-0.13 -0.13)42.22% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.37% (-0.113 -0.11)78.63% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 68.29%
    DC United 13.16%
    Draw 18.53%
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.38% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.07% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 68.29%
1-1 @ 8.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 18.53%
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.78% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 13.16%

How you voted: New England vs DC United

New England Revolution
61.1%
Draw
16.7%
DC United
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 12.30am
DC United
3-2
New England
Fountas (26', 43'), Estrada (39')
Gressel (33')
Bye (6'), Buksa (86')
Jones (65'), Buksa (87'), Kessler (89')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
DC United
2-3
New England
Robertha (51'), Abila (90+3')
Felipe (18')
Buksa (61'), Gil (64'), Bou (79')
Polster (42')
Aug 19, 2021 12am
New England
3-2
DC United
McNamara (49'), Buchanan (53'), Jones (85')
Ingvi Traustason (33'), Kaptoum (42'), DeLaGarza (60'), Ingvi Traustason (72')
Arriola (10'), Abila (90+6')
Rodrigo Asad (32'), Birnbaum (78')
Apr 25, 2021 1am
New England
1-0
DC United
Hines-Ike (48' og.)
Ingvi Traustason (32'), Kaptoum (60'), Farrell (80'), Buksa (89')

Canouse (25'), Moreno (58'), Hines-Ike (90+4')
Nov 2, 2020 12.30am
New England
4-3
DC United
Buksa (30'), Canouse (54' og.), Bunbury (67', 84')
Rodrigo Asad (22'), Yow (26'), Rivas (75')
Rodrigo Asad (14'), Canouse (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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