Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.