Major League Soccer

Sep 25, 2022 at 3am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 3
LA Galaxy

Espinoza (74' pen.), Cardoso (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hernandez (12', 69'), Brugman (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

Last Six:

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

Last Six:

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Colorado
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.78%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
37.51% ( -0.06)	22.64% ( 0.04)	39.85% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 66.76% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.99% (

-0.21)

34.01% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.12% (

-0.24)

55.88% (

0.24)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19% (

-0.12)

18.81% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.76% (

-0.2)

50.24% (

0.2)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

-0.08)

17.78% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51% (

-0.14)

48.49% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 37.51%

Los Angeles Galaxy 39.85%

Draw 22.64%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.51%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.64%	1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.85%