Major League Soccer

Sep 15, 2022 at 3am UK

Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Colorado
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Rubio (21'), Rosenberry (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cardoso (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colorado Rapids in this match.

Result
Colorado Rapids	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
61.69% ( 0.53)	20.5% ( -0.1)	17.81% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 56.1% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60% (

-0.25)

39.99% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

-0.26)

62.36% (

0.26)

Colorado Rapids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.52% (

0.07)

12.48% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.55% (

0.15)

38.44% (

-0.15)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1% (

-0.62)

35.9% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.32% (

-0.64)

72.68% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Colorado Rapids 61.69%

San Jose Earthquakes 17.81%

Draw 20.5%

Colorado Rapids	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.69% Total : 61.69%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.5%	1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.81%