Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 49.11% | 22.69% | 28.19% |
| Both teams to score 62.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.03% | 37.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.77% | 60.22% |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% | 15.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.12% | 44.88% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% | 25.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.92% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.11% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 1.68% 1-4 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.19% |