Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
6
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alvaro Barreal 45' goal
  • Brenner 47' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 71' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 77' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 78' goal
  • Brenner 90' goal
  • Brenner 90'+5' goal

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 8, 2022 1.00am
NY City 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Brandon Vazquez

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 5, 2022 2.30am
Earthquakes 2 - 0 Vancouver
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jeremy Ebobisse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

FC Cincinnati 47.89% (+0.68)
Draw 23.73% (-0.12)
San Jose Earthquakes 28.38% (-0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.91% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.27% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 42.73% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 34.86% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 65.13% (-0.16)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 81.98% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 18.02% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 51.1% (+0.56)
Under 1.5 48.9% (-0.57)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 71.85% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 28.14% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 36.17% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 63.82% (+0.40)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 47.89%
Draw 23.73%
San Jose Earthquakes 28.38%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.44% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.69% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.45% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.39% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.25% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.31% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.82% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 47.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.73%
San Jose Earthquakes
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 28.38%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
Apr 26, 2020 10.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
May 5, 2019 3.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Avaya Stadium (San Jose, California)
  • Shea Salinas 13' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 15' yellowcard
  • Nick Lima 22' goal
  • Nick Lima 29' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 51' redcard
  • yellowcard Caleb Stanko 6'
  • yellowcard Forrest Lasso 31'
  • yellowcard Fatai Alashe 67'