| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 5 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 25 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 25 | -8 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 57.75% ( | 23.06% ( | 19.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( | 49.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( | 71.11% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( | 16.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.38% ( | 46.61% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.32% ( | 39.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.64% ( | 76.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 3-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 5-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 57.74% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0-2 @ 2.83% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.2% |