Major League Soccer

Aug 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Martinez (90+5')
Gutman (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Morgan (11'), Tolkin (15')
Duncan (45+4'), Klimala (66'), Coronel (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Orlando City
Saturday, August 13 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	CF Montreal	25	4	43
3	New York Red Bulls	25	5	37
4	Columbus Crew	24	5	34

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
44.82% ( -0.01)	25.72% ( 0.01)	29.45% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.2% (

-0.01)

50.8% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.31% (

-0.01)

72.69% (

0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

-0.01)

22.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78% (

-0.01)

56.22% (

0.01)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1% (

67.9% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 44.82%

New York Red Bulls 29.45%

Draw 25.72%

Atlanta United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.82%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.45%