| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 5 | 35 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 2 | 34 |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 26 | -2 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 5 | 35 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 26 | -2 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 39.31% ( | 25.86% ( | 34.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( | 49.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( | 71.72% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( | 24.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% ( | 59.48% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( | 27.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( | 62.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.83% |