| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 22 | 2 | 36 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 23 | 6 | 36 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 22 | 2 | 36 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 52.25% ( | 24.9% ( | 22.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( | 52.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( | 73.93% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( | 19.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.86% ( | 52.13% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.24% ( | 37.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.46% ( | 74.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.25% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.84% |