Major League Soccer
Sep 8, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gabriel Pereira 41' goal
  • goal Thiago Martins 22' (OG)

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 5, 2022 1.00am
New England 3 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 4, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati 2 - 0 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Brandon Vazquez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 69.16% (+0.66)
Draw 17.86% (-0.28)
FC Cincinnati 12.99% (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.47% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.38% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 37.62% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 40.14% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 59.86% (-0.43)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 90.16% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 9.84% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 67.34% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 32.66% (-0.62)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 59.31% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 40.69% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 22.72% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 77.28% (+0.28)

Score analysis

New York City FC 69.16%
Draw 17.86%
FC Cincinnati 12.99%
New York City FC
2-0 @ 10.76% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 8.32% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 7.48% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 4.82% (+0.13)
4-1 @ 4.34% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.24% (+0.09)
5-1 @ 2.01% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.95% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 69.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.86%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 12.99%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
4
4
HT : 3 3
FT
  • Luciano Acosta 15' goal
  • Brenner 24' goal
  • Brenner 30' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 57' yellowcard
  • Allan Cruz 62' yellowcard
  • Brenner 70' goal
  • Brenner 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 31'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 31'
  • goal Talles Magno 45'
  • goal Heber 45'+2'
  • goal Heber 45'+7'
  • goal Gabriel Pereira 52'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Brenner 4' goal
  • Geoff Cameron 48' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 74' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 85' redcard
  • Isaac Atanga 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Tajouri 26'
  • goal Keaton Parks 37'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 60'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 69'
  • yellowcard Andres Jasson 77'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 83'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 90'+7'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Apr 24, 2021 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Jesus Medina 7' goal
  • Gudmundur Thorarinsson 50' yellowcard
  • Nick Hagglund 53' goal
  • Gudmundur Thorarinsson 57' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 60' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 67' goal
  • Jesus Medina 83' goal
  • yellowcard Calvin Harris 10'
  • yellowcard Allan Cruz 56'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 13
Sep 27, 2020 12.00am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Alexandru Mitrita 1' goal
  • Anton Tinnerholm 25' goal
  • Alexander Callens 34' yellowcard
  • Alexandru Mitrita 43' goal
  • Ronald Matarrita 61' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 78' yellowcard
  • Jesus Medina 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kendall Waston 64'
  • yellowcard Haris Medunjanin 71'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Sep 13, 2020 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Alexander Ring 39' goal
  • Anton Tinnerholm 55' goal
  • James Sands 78' yellowcard
  • Maxime Chanot 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kendall Waston 52'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 74'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Deplagne 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 30
Jul 16, 2020 12.00am