| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 27 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | New York City FC | 27 | 18 | 45 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 8 | 44 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | -14 | 29 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | -12 | 26 |
| 10 | DC United | 27 | -29 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.29%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 9.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
| 76.29% ( | 14.66% ( | 9.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.4% ( | 33.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.59% ( | 55.4% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.72% ( | 7.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.66% ( | 26.34% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.02% ( | 44.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% ( | 80.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
| 2-0 @ 11.23% 3-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 3-1 @ 7.84% ( 4-0 @ 6.43% ( 4-1 @ 5.14% ( 5-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 5-1 @ 2.69% ( 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 6-0 @ 1.47% ( 6-1 @ 1.18% ( 5-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 76.29% | 1-1 @ 6.85% ( 2-2 @ 3.59% 0-0 @ 3.27% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 14.66% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0-1 @ 2.61% ( 0-2 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.69% Total : 9.04% |