Major League Soccer

Aug 28, 2022 at 9pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
3 - 2
DC United

Franco (49'), Martinez (62'), Sanchez (70')
Sanchez (18')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morrison (47'), Kamara (55')
Rooney (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	DC United
63.3% ( -0.15)	19.88% ( 0.15)	16.82% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.11% (

-0.72)

38.88% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.8% (

-0.76)

61.19% (

0.75)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.3% (

-0.25)

11.69% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.21% (

-0.55)

36.79% (

0.54)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.63% (

-0.44)

36.37% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.84% (

-0.44)

73.15% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 63.3%

DC United 16.82%

Draw 19.88%

Atlanta United	Draw	DC United
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.06% Total : 63.3%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.88%	1-2 @ 4.67% 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 16.82%