Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2022 at 12.30am UK

RFK Stadium

DC United
0 - 6
Philadelphia

FT(HT: 0-2)

Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	26	25	48
2	CF Montreal	25	4	43
3	New York Red Bulls	26	6	40

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
33.27% ( -0.41)	25.83% ( 0.24)	40.9% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.12% (

-1.13)

49.88% (

1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.13% (

-1.02)

71.87% (

1.02)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

-0.81)

28.45% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78% (

-1.03)

64.22% (

1.03)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-0.41)

24.12% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57% (

-0.59)

58.43% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

DC United 33.27%

Philadelphia Union 40.9%

Draw 25.83%

DC United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.27%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.9%