Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2022 1.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jonathan Bell 12' goal
  • Noel Buck 33' goal
  • Noel Buck 41' yellowcard
  • Thomas McNamara 65' goal

New England Revolution vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 12.30am
New England 0 - 0 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gustavo Bou

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 1.00am
NY City 1 - 2 DC United
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result

New England Revolution 48.69% (+0.27)
Draw 24.19% (+0.01)
New York City FC 27.11% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.32% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.32% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 45.68% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 31.99% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 68% (+0.19)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 81.15% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.84% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 49.7% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.29% (-0.06)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 69.4% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 30.59% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 33.17% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 66.83% (+0.37)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 48.69%
Draw 24.19%
New York City FC 27.11%
New England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.62% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.51% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.03% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.29% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.47% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 48.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.19%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2022 6.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Talles Magno 10' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 36' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 44' goal
  • Gabriel Pereira 49' goal
  • Justin Haak 70' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 82' goal
  • goal Gustavo Bou 18'
  • redcard Andrew Farrell 41'
  • goal Gustavo Bou 77'
  • yellowcard Carles Gil 84'
Major League Soccer
Dec 1, 2021 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
ET Gillette Stadium
  • Adam Buksa 9' goal
  • Matt Polster 27' yellowcard
  • Adam Buksa 54' yellowcard
  • Tajon Buchanan 118' goal
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 3'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 18'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 58'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 84'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 109'
  • redcard Valentin Castellanos 113'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Sep 12, 2021 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Emmanuel Boateng 21' goal
  • Frederick Kessler 63' yellowcard
  • Adam Buksa 64' yellowcard
  • Tajon Buchanan 65' goal
  • Tajon Buchanan 65' goal
  • Matt Polster 90' yellowcard
  • Carles Gil 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 11'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 52'
  • redcard Alfredo Morales 53'
  • redcard Alfredo Morales 54'
  • yellowcard Thiago Andrade 74'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Aug 29, 2021 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Valentin Castellanos 31' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 37' yellowcard
  • James Sands 40' yellowcard
  • Maxime Chanot 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 55' goal
  • Gudmundur Thorarinsson 87' yellowcard
  • Andres Jasson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Farrell 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Valentin Castellanos 39' yellowcard
  • Andrade T. 55' goal
  • Thiago Andrade 56' yellowcard
  • James Sands 77' yellowcard
  • Ismael Tajouri 85' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 19'
  • goal Gustavo Bou 27'
  • yellowcard Lucas Maciel Felix 53'
  • yellowcard Maciel 53'
  • goal Jonathan Bell 78'
  • goal Thomas McNamara 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 17
Oct 11, 2020 9.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Alexander Callens 90'+3' goal
  • goal Teal Bunbury 3'
  • yellowcard Lee Nguyen 45'
  • yellowcard Scott Caldwell 58'
  • yellowcard Kelyn Rowe 76'
  • goal Lee Nguyen 80'
  • yellowcard DeJuan Jones 83'