Major League Soccer

Sep 5, 2022 at 1am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
3 - 0
NY City

Bell (12'), Buck (33'), McNamara (65')
Buck (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	New York City FC
48.69% ( 0.27)	24.19% ( 0)	27.11% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.32% (

-0.2)

45.68% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99% (

-0.19)

68% (

0.19)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15% (

0.03)

18.84% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.7% (

0.05)

50.29% (

-0.05)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

-0.3)

30.59% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

-0.36)

66.83% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 48.69%

New York City FC 27.11%

Draw 24.19%

New England Revolution	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 48.69%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 27.11%