Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 25 | 48 |
2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 43 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 6 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 5 | 34 |
5 | New England Revolution | 25 | 2 | 34 |
6 | Toronto | 26 | -6 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
55.41% ( 2.02) | 22.63% ( -0.41) | 21.96% ( -1.6) |
Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.35% ( 0.03) | 43.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.96% ( 0.03) | 66.04% ( -0.03) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.38% ( 0.7) | 15.62% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.38% ( 1.3) | 44.62% ( -1.3) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% ( -1.42) | 33.8% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.54% ( -1.57) | 70.46% ( 1.57) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |