| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 6 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 25 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Toronto | 26 | -6 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 55.41% ( | 22.63% ( | 21.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.35% ( | 43.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.96% ( | 66.04% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( | 15.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.38% ( | 44.62% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( | 33.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.54% ( | 70.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.96% |